Tinubu's APC Holds Advantage in Kaduna, Katsina, Jigawa

A recent political assessment predicts that President Bola Tinubu's All Progressives Congress (APC) has a structural advantage in Katsina, Jigawa, and Kaduna states ahead of the elections. The report analyzed party structures, defections, alliances, and historical voting patterns.

In Katsina, the APC benefits from Governor Dikko Umaru Radda's influence, although voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and insecurity may impact support. The African Democratic Congress (ADC) is mobilizing in Katsina, but internal divisions persist.

In Jigawa, Governor Umar Namadi is expected to lead the APC's campaign focused on agriculture and social welfare. The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) remains relevant in Katsina, having won the state in the 2023 presidential election.

In Kaduna, Atiku Abubakar won the state in 2023, but the political landscape has shifted with significant defections to the APC. The assessment places the APC ahead in all three states, while the ADC is noted as a significant contender.