Supercomputer Predicts Manchester Derby Outcome

On September 13, 2026, Manchester City will travel to Old Trafford for the first Manchester derby of the 2026/27 Premier League season. City, managed by Enzo Maresca after Pep Guardiola's departure, has won all three of their opening matches.

In contrast, Manchester United, under the permanent management of Michael Carrick, has secured four points from nine possible. According to Opta's supercomputer, City has a 45.1% chance of winning, while United's probability of a home victory is 30.6%.

A win for Carrick would make him only the second United manager to win his first two competitive Manchester derbies. The last ten encounters between the clubs show City with five wins, United with four, and one draw, indicating a closely matched rivalry.

The derby is significant for both managers as they seek to establish their identities within their respective clubs.