Peter Obi Forecasted to Win 8 States in 2027 Election

On September 1, 2026, the Political Intelligence Group (PIG) released a forecast indicating that Peter Obi, the presidential candidate of the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC), is projected to win eight states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) in the 2027 presidential election. The analysis, published by Politico.ng, assessed the current political landscape and the distribution of support among the three major presidential contenders.

President Bola Tinubu is projected to win 20 states, holding a strong advantage particularly in the south-west and beyond. The forecast also suggests that the flagbearer of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) will maintain significant influence in parts of northern Nigeria.

The projection reflects Obi's support from the 2023 presidential election, especially in the south-east and urban areas. Analysts caution that various factors, including potential opposition coalitions and demographic considerations, could significantly alter these projected outcomes.